Sunday, January 29, 2012

Poll Watch 2012

Of course, Mitt Romney is all over the news because a new poll in Florida has him holding a solid lead. According to realclearpolitics.com, Romney has 41% support in Florida, with Gingrich at 29.7%, Santorum at 13.5% and Ron Paul at 9.8%. Paul's numbers are rising slowly but surely. Nationally, Gingrich is ahead with 30.3%, Romney with 27.5%, Santorum at 16.3%, and Paul at 12.8%. Santorum has experienced a little boost since yesterday, I hate to say it, but probably a little sympathy support because his daughter is in the hospital.

Strangely enough, an NBC/Marist poll split Santorum support between Gingrich and Romney if Santorum were to drop out, why!? How would no support go to Ron Paul? Are Santorum supporters that entrenched, that blind to see that Ron Paul is the only logical candidate? I truely believe that Ron Paul will blow the rest of them out of the water in the western states.

Also from realclearpolitics.com, polls from states that are having primaries and caucuses in February (after Florida). These states are: Maine and Nevada caucuses February 4th; Colorado and Minnesota caucuses, and Missouri primary February 7th; Arizona and Michigan primary February 28th.

NEVADA: Romney 33%, Gingrich 29%, Paul 13%, Santorum 3%.

MAINE: Romney 24%, Gingrich 18%, Paul 5%, Santorum 2%

COLORADO: Gingrich 37%, Romney 18%, Paul 6%, Santorum 4%

MINNESOTA: Gingrich 36%, Romney 18%, Santorum 17%, Paul 13%

MISSOURI: No polls yet.

MICHIGAN: Romney 31%, Gingrich 26%, Paul 14%, Santorum 10%

ARIZONA: Gingrich 28%, Romney 23%, Paul 8%, Santorum 3%

I think it goes without saying that Santorum has had it. He'll probably throw in the towel pretty soon. he's broke, his dughter's sick, and he lack the support needed...he lacks the type of support that is required to win. PLUS, I haven't been able to confirm this myself, but apparently Gingirch and Santorum are NOT on the ballot in a whole bunch of states, and that they both would need a miracle straight out of heaven in order to win enough delagates to win the nomination.

Also from realclearpolitics.com a poll showing each individual candidate against President Obama:

Obama 47.2% vs Romney 45%

Obama 51.5% vs Gingrich 39.1%

Obama 50.5% vs Santorum 40.3%

Obama 47.5% vs Paul 41.7%

These are the most interesting numbers to me. Ron Paul is the only one that comes close other than Romney. These numbers show that Gingrich and Santorum are both quite unelectable against Obama. This information also shows that Romney is probably shaking in his boots right now. The status quo is so afraid of Ron Paul! That is why you only hear the media ONLY mentioning Gingrich and Romney, they're pretending that Ron Paul is just some old kook and that people are not listening to him. But, we ARE listening, people are beginning to wake up and realize what's so wrong with this country, that we as citizens have let the government sneak into our homes and personal lives.

Romney should be VERY worried at this point. Ron Paul can beat him. I think that Ron Paul is more attractive to more people. The only reason the Romney is ahead at the moment is because his supports are main stream...and he's filthy stinkin' rich. But again, there's another reason he's MORE electable than Romney. Paul is more trustworthy. Romney (just like his business dealings) is very shady, he's very rehersed and plastic.

Don't forget: in PRIMARY states, you must be a registered republican to vote. In CAUCUS states, it doesn't matter which party you belong to.

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